
People Think We’re
in a Recession. Don’t Blame Them. – NYTimes
Yet this week, an
NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll of American adults found that 57 percent
still think the economy is in recession. People don’t take this as a technical
economic research question; they take it to mean, “Is the economy good?” The
labor market is still slack, meaning millions who would like to work can’t and
those who do work have limited ability to demand higher wages.
Recent government disclosure
made headlines with the finding that 95 percent of income gains from 2009 to
2012 accrued to the top 1 percent of earners meanwhile the real market incomes
for the 99 percent rising just 0.1 percent a year
Wages and salaries
peaked at more than 51 percent of the economy in the late 1960s; they fell to
45 percent by the start of the last recession in 2007 and have since fallen to
42 percent. When the economy does grow, that growth disproportionately accrues
to the owners of capital instead of to wage earners.
Republicans call
for lower taxes, fewer transfer payments and less regulation. In some cases,
they focus on the need to reduce the public debt or to tighten monetary policy.
Democrats are much
more focused on the wage and employment problems. But their policies mostly benefit
the poor, and they provide little help for middle-income families. Economic
Report of the President, which features a chart showing how productivity has
pulled away from wages since the 1970s.To change this a list of policies such
as education and human capital policies, including expanded prekindergarten,
improved access to higher education, holding colleges accountable for quality
and better apprenticeship programs. He also promoted policies to raise overall
growth, like corporate tax reform. These policies might promote wage growth
over the long run.
The one period of
really robust wage growth in the last 40 years was the late 1990s, when the
labor market was tight and workers could effectively demand higher wages in
exchange for their labor.
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